Pecege Forecasts 3.3% Increase in Sugarcane Crushing for 2026/27 Season Start

According to the latest projections from Pecege Consultoria e Projetos, Brazil's sugarcane production is set for a notable increase in the 2026/27 season. The company estimates that sugarcane crushing will rise from 609.2 million tons to 629.36 million tons, marking a 3.3% increase. This anticipated growth is primarily driven by enhanced productivity and an expansion in the harvested area dedicated to sugarcane. Market analyst Raphael Delloiagono highlighted that Pecege's analytical team has developed a range of potential outcomes for the new season, meticulously factoring in these two critical variables: productivity and harvested area. Despite the inherent variability in such forecasts, even the most conservative estimates indicate a substantial improvement over the previous season's output. “Considering the potential fluctuations in these two vectors, we are working with a range that goes from 620 million tons to 640 million tons,” Delloiagono explained. “Even in the worst-case scenario, which is 620 million tons, that’s still 10 million tons more than at the close of the 2025/26 season.” This optimistic outlook underscores Pecege's confidence in the upcoming season's performance. It is worth noting that Pecege had previously estimated the recently concluded season's output at 610 million tons. However, delays in resuming operations due to March rains led to a revised volume of 609.19 million tons. Data released by the Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association (Unica) indicated an accumulated crushing of 603.67 million tons by the first half of March. These new forecasts provide crucial insights into the future trajectory of Brazil's sugar industry.